Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.218425 3.473157 3.761216 4.116724 4.552272 5.081274 5.795059
2025-02-16 2.890008 3.217258 3.615084 4.152630 4.894597 5.950759 7.746882
2025-02-23 2.623171 2.968022 3.403926 4.024630 4.948708 6.423685 9.502955
2025-03-02 2.480258 2.845969 3.324439 4.039683 5.187666 7.268584 13.048760
2025-03-09 2.361355 2.737983 3.243772 4.029458 5.372969 8.118721 19.094506
2025-03-16 2.242263 2.617189 3.129220 3.945113 5.403196 8.670339 28.192915
2025-03-23 2.189689 2.580638 3.127952 4.034507 5.773329 10.372339 297.096709
2025-03-30 2.089188 2.470067 3.007714 3.910138 5.685346 10.700860 NaN
2025-04-06 1.996109 2.364564 2.887283 3.771784 5.539340 10.753752 NaN
2025-04-13 1.924768 2.286040 2.802090 3.685122 5.489178 11.161588 NaN
2025-04-20 1.898220 2.269350 2.808719 3.758540 5.816811 13.651687 NaN
2025-04-27 1.892034 2.281028 2.859151 3.917065 6.410601 19.901033 NaN
2025-05-04 1.853102 2.244715 2.834222 3.937588 6.678711 26.750462 NaN
2025-05-11 1.819646 2.214925 2.817855 3.973543 7.017274 43.717728 NaN
2025-05-18 1.760752 2.144442 2.730596 3.857278 6.845710 45.972027 NaN
2025-05-25 1.729628 2.114371 2.708145 3.871096 7.109515 113.983129 NaN
2025-06-01 1.696738 2.080104 2.676434 3.861767 7.296777 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.654601 2.030148 2.615671 3.784636 7.213537 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.641437 2.023830 2.628155 3.866381 7.780235 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.597925 1.969212 2.555181 3.752605 7.507701 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.554118 1.913139 2.478029 3.625626 7.163015 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.519710 1.870827 2.423318 3.545869 7.007350 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 1.510437 1.867012 2.434525 3.613449 7.499178 NaN NaN